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COVID-19 UPDATE FOR NIGERIA

  It is now  313  days since the first COVID-19 case was reported in Nigeria. As at January 06, 2021 the confirmed cases are  97,303  with  1,324  fatalities, however,  77,299  have recovered. Based on  equal days forecast , by November 15, 2021, Nigeria’s confirmed COVID-19 cases are forecast to be: 1,258,828  from grafted (spline) polynomial model without knots 954,792  from grafted (spline) polynomial model with knots 4,205,342  from smooth spline model 337,355  from ARIMA model (95% lower confidence band) 918,625  from ARIMA model (95% upper confidence band) 219,063  from quadratic polynomial model See more here