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COVID-19 UPDATE FOR NIGERIA

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  It is now  313  days since the first COVID-19 case was reported in Nigeria. As at January 06, 2021 the confirmed cases are  97,303  with  1,324  fatalities, however,  77,299  have recovered. Based on  equal days forecast , by November 15, 2021, Nigeria’s confirmed COVID-19 cases are forecast to be: 1,258,828  from grafted (spline) polynomial model without knots 954,792  from grafted (spline) polynomial model with knots 4,205,342  from smooth spline model 337,355  from ARIMA model (95% lower confidence band) 918,625  from ARIMA model (95% upper confidence band) 219,063  from quadratic polynomial model See more here
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2020 AND THE STRESSES ON NIGERIA: view point

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  Not long after we had wished ourselves happy and prosperous 2020 that news started filtering in of the outbreak of SARS-virus in China. As the days go by, so the number of people continue to rise until WHO named the disease COVID-19 and declared it as a global pandemic (I am still going to find out how it differs from epidemic). Gradually the virus was slipping through borders; and countries continue to lockdown. For Nigeria, if our leaders had taken the precautionary steps of stopping entries from countries already having significant percentage of infections, like France and Britain, perhaps we would have been able to fight the virus as was done for Ebola. With moments of indecision passing by, suddenly COVID-19 was imported from Europe and landed in Ogun State on February 29, 2020. Again, as if the government was not yet sure of what to do, days passed by until a national lockdown was ordered on March 29, 2020. The COVID-19 pandemic has brought to fore the sorry state of our he...
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DEPLOYMENT OF TECHNOLOGY: A WAY OF ENHANCING AGRIBUSINESS

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DEPLOYMENT OF TECHNOLOGY: A WAY OF ENHANCING AGRIBUSINESS   Prof. J N Nmadu Agricultural Economics and farm Management Federal University of Technology, Minna Industrial Liaison officer Fellow and President, Nigerian Association of Agricultural Economists     You may be aware that all my life, I deal with numbers and how to make them understandable for those who do not make meaning out of it. I try to determine the pattern in numbers and present them in a way that it makes more meaning. Essentially, and in the simplest of putting it, you may say that I apply technology to numbers and indeed I do.   Over the years, there is one concept that is well misunderstood by majority of Nigerians: diversification. Each time we have a new government, they always promise to diversify Nigerian economy. And when they say, most of us will nod our heads in agreement. In most of the cases, they normally want to diversify from oil and gas sector into agriculture. So, what does that m...
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